Gruber's Latest Paper on Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance | The ...
by Arthur_500
Yet any individual’s decision, such as switching from group to non-group insurance, is not reflected in that individual’s wages. rather, the savings to the firm (or the cost to the firm) is passed along on average to all workers in the firm. If [the] tax subsidy is removed (or mitigated), then healthy workers may find better prices in a more closely experience-rated non-group market, and to some extent abandon the cross-subsidized employer pools. Any firm-wide reaction, such as dropping insurance or lowering employee contributions, is directly reflected in wages. This effect could be reinforced through the reduced influence of non-discrimination rules that are enforced indirectly through the tax exclusion. The concluding section of the paper summarizes simulation results for a variety of changes to tax exclusion policy. Included among them are exclusion cap policies, akin to though not equal to the proposed Cadillac tax....
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